The Handicapper v2
Updated 09/15/2015
The ultimate goal is to identify profitable odds in the wide MLB market through comprehensive analysis. The policy is not to find daily top-pics or "bets of the year", but instead determine the cases where the offered odds creates a solid ground for a winning bet. The basic ideas of the analysis lie in a large variety of fundamental and statistical measurements of both team and player qualities and ballpark characteristics. Even if a major part of the evaluation process is based on statistical calculations, the strategic and league specific aspects of each game are also weighed. More of the model and of the way of handicapping can be found in the Analysis-section. 

The Handicapper is an excel-based handicapping tool for MLB-betting. The program is the result of several years of studies and countless hours of work in the fields of general baseball knowledge, sabermetrics and some hardcore trial-and-error programming. All the knowledge I have gained throughout this process is reflected in the simulation result of a single MLB-game.
FEATURES
>Uses individual player stats (historical, current season and trends) to create event probabilities (batter-pitcher matchup)
>Current season stats changes dynamically through the season
>Adjusts player data with park factors
>Uses a fairly sophisticated algorithm to to calculate individual player probabilities (determines weights for historical and current season stats)
>Calculates event probabilities for every single batter-pitcher matchup
>Uses a dynamic bullpen-engine (algorithm) to decide which relief pitcher is pitching in a specific situation of a simulated game
>Allows the user to customize simulation settings
>Allows the user to modify lineups
>One simulation consists of approximately 75 simulated plate appearances (batter-pitcher matchups)
>Compares simulation results to dynamic odds
>Tells the user if there is value on a specific bet
>Presents individual player performances from simulated games
>Keeps track of bets submitted by the user
INFORMATION AND UPDATES
09/15/2015 -- No data update between Wednesday 09/16/2015 and Friday 09/18/2015
-You can still use The Handicapper, but if there are schedule changes the affected games won't show correctly. You also have to add starting pitchers manually for each game.
08/28/2015 -- No data update on Saturday 08/29/2015
-You can still use The Handicapper, but if there are schedule changes the affected games won't show correctly. You also have to add starting pitchers manually for each game.
-There will be a few more delays in data update during the rest of the season. Follow this page for information.
08/21/2015 -- No data update on Saturday 08/22/2015
-You can still use The Handicapper, but if there are schedule changes the affected games won't show correctly. You also have to add starting pitchers manually for each game.
-There will be a few more delays in data update during the rest of the season. Follow this page for information.
08/16/2015 -- No data update between Monday 08/17/2015 and Wednesday 08/19/2015
-You can still use The Handicapper, but if there are schedule changes the affected games won't show correctly. You also have to add starting pitchers manually for each game.
08/08/2015 -- Update (v2.0.3) released
-Fixed issue with injuries for TOR and WSN missing
-Fixed issue with new pitcher name missing
-Fixed issue with team name not completly visible on main screen in The Handicapper
-Fixed issue with lineups from previous games
-Fixed issue with batter offensive ability not showing properly
08/05/2015 -- No data update on Thursday 08/06/2015 and Monday 08/10/2015
-There might be a longer delay (about one week) starting sometimes in the end of next week. You can still use The Handicapper, but if there are schedule changes the affected games won't show correctly. You also have to add starting pitchers manually for each game.
07/22/2015 -- How to copy Past Performance and Current Picks
-If you install an update of The Handicapper you can copy your past performance and current picks by copying (and overwriting) the files 'placed_bets.txt' and 'current_picks.txt' from the root-folder (...\The Handicapper\) of your previous version to the root-folder of the current (new) version of The Handicapper.
07/22/2015 -- Update (v2.0.2) released
-Fixed issue with saving Placed Bets when bet list is empty.
-Fixed issue with double-header odds import.
-Fixed issue when unkown pitcher was on roster.
-The Calendar is now set to current date in simulate multiple games.
-Fixed formatting in background issue.
-Fixed issue with not possible to change position to DH when NL team is away team in interleague matchup.
-Rosters now include all players that have played for current team the current season.
07/17/2015 -- Update v2.0.1 fixed
-Problem with add-in reference fixed. A new download of the_handicapper_v2.0.1 is recommended.
07/17/2015 -- Update (v2.0.1) released
-Fixes schedule row error when no games on current date.
-Fixes From The Author not showing correctly.
-Last batter on roster is now visible.
-Fantasy Lineup Generator now informs of not simulated games.
-Load Data renamed to Generate Data in Fantasy Lineup Generator.
-Fantasy Lineup export formatting corrected.
07/14/2015 -- The Handicapper v2.0 launched
-Some minor issues already found. They doesn't affect any integral parts of the simulation process (merely some layout-related stuff) so I will hold with an update until a bit later. Please give feedback and report issues to hk@eastsidesportsanalysis.com
Previous versions: The Handicapper v1