|
|
|
|
|
 |
The Handicapper web app is published! Try it for FREE: www.thehandicapper.net |
 |
The Handicapper desktop version is not supported anymore and is replaced by the web app. |
This is the most important information where all data and calculations are compressed to a single number. The projections are dependent on the user-defined handicapping settings and they are calculated only using information (data) that was available at the game date.
(1) The number in red (44,4%) is the probability that the away team (New York Yankees) will win the game. The number in black (2,254) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,444).
(2) The number in red (44,4%) is the probability that the home team (Toronto Blue Jays) will win the game. The number in black (2,254) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,556). (3) The number in red (59,9%) is the probability that the away team (New York Yankees) will win the game when they are given a +1,5 runs advantage. The number in black (1,670) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,599). (4) The number in red (40,1%) is the probability that the home team (Toronto Blue Jays) will win the game when they are given a -1,5 runs disadvantage. The number in black (2,492) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,401). (5) The number in red (52,5%) is the probability that there will be more than 8,5 runs in the game. The number in black (1,903) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,525). (6) The number in red (47,5%) is the probability that there will be less than 8,5 runs in the game. The number in black (2,107) is the limit odds (in European format), which is the lowest odds where a bet should be placed. The limit odds is obtained by dividing 1 with the probability (in this example 1/0,475). (7) Projection confidence is roughly an estimate of available stats for all players. There is a certain threshold that gives 100% for a player. In the example above the 70/100 means, that the total threshold for all players is 70% full. What this means, is that on average a player in this matchup has played enough games (or has enough innings pitched, plate appearences etc.) that 70% of his threshold is filled. The threshold (to obtain 100%) for a starting pitcher is for example 500 innings pitched during last three seasons + the ongoing season. |
