By Harri Kairavuo | eastsideportsanalysis.com
The first projections for 2017 MLB Regular Season are out. As was the case with 2016 projections, the 2017 version are also a result of simulations for each regular season game without any "smoothing process" taking place in the end. What this means, is that I haven't take into consideration possible trades, which might make teams stronger/weaker (usually at the time around the trade deadline). That's why the difference (measured in wins) between the best and worst team is not as big as one could imagine.
The first projections for 2017 MLB Regular Season are out. As was the case with 2016 projections, the 2017 version are also a result of simulations for each regular season game without any "smoothing process" taking place in the end. What this means, is that I haven't take into consideration possible trades, which might make teams stronger/weaker (usually at the time around the trade deadline). That's why the difference (measured in wins) between the best and worst team is not as big as one could imagine.
| TEAM | W% | W | L | RS | RA |
| Dodgers | 56.1% | 91.0 | 71.1 | 4.46 | 3.89 |
| Cubs | 55.4% | 89.8 | 72.3 | 4.51 | 3.98 |
| Nationals | 55.2% | 89.4 | 72.6 | 4.45 | 3.97 |
| Indians | 53.6% | 86.8 | 75.2 | 4.53 | 4.18 |
| Astros | 53.3% | 86.3 | 75.7 | 4.47 | 4.16 |
| Giants | 53.2% | 86.2 | 75.8 | 4.22 | 3.91 |
| Red Sox | 52.3% | 84.8 | 77.2 | 4.54 | 4.33 |
| Mets | 51.9% | 84.1 | 77.9 | 4.23 | 4.03 |
| Blue Jays | 51.6% | 83.7 | 78.3 | 4.47 | 4.34 |
| Rangers | 50.8% | 82.3 | 79.7 | 4.38 | 4.28 |
| Pirates | 50.7% | 82.2 | 79.8 | 4.17 | 4.11 |
| Orioles | 50.6% | 82.0 | 80.0 | 4.56 | 4.53 |
| Yankees | 50.2% | 81.3 | 80.7 | 4.43 | 4.40 |
| Cardinals | 50.2% | 81.3 | 80.7 | 4.24 | 4.18 |
| Tigers | 50.1% | 81.2 | 80.8 | 4.42 | 4.41 |
| Marlins | 49.7% | 80.5 | 81.5 | 4.10 | 4.14 |
| Mariners | 49.3% | 79.9 | 82.2 | 4.19 | 4.27 |
| Rays | 49.2% | 79.7 | 82.3 | 4.14 | 4.22 |
| Angels | 48.9% | 79.3 | 82.8 | 4.10 | 4.17 |
| Rockies | 48.8% | 79.0 | 83.0 | 4.60 | 4.75 |
| Athletics | 48.4% | 78.5 | 83.5 | 4.07 | 4.22 |
| Braves | 48.4% | 78.4 | 83.6 | 4.07 | 4.23 |
| Diamondbacks | 48.2% | 78.1 | 83.9 | 4.19 | 4.35 |
| Royals | 47.0% | 76.2 | 85.8 | 4.07 | 4.33 |
| Padres | 47.0% | 76.1 | 85.9 | 3.95 | 4.26 |
| Phillies | 46.9% | 76.0 | 86.0 | 4.06 | 4.31 |
| Twins | 46.4% | 75.1 | 86.9 | 4.23 | 4.58 |
| Reds | 46.2% | 74.9 | 87.1 | 4.20 | 4.62 |
| White Sox | 45.9% | 74.4 | 87.7 | 4.07 | 4.46 |
| Brewers | 44.3% | 71.8 | 90.2 | 4.09 | 4.60 |
