By Harri Kairavuo | eastsideportsanalysis.com
This is the final edition for 2017 MLB Regular Season projections. The season has been simulated with a slightly modified simulation algorithm (compared to the first edition). Average runs per game (8.14) is lower than by projections made by some other analysts. This is due to the fact that my simulations are done with current projected starting lineups and does not take into account possible injuries and other roster transactions, which usually makes teams weaker in run prevention (compared to run scoring ability).
This is the final edition for 2017 MLB Regular Season projections. The season has been simulated with a slightly modified simulation algorithm (compared to the first edition). Average runs per game (8.14) is lower than by projections made by some other analysts. This is due to the fact that my simulations are done with current projected starting lineups and does not take into account possible injuries and other roster transactions, which usually makes teams weaker in run prevention (compared to run scoring ability).
| TEAM | W% | W | L | RS | RA |
| Dodgers | 60.1% | 97.4 | 64.6 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
| Cubs | 59.4% | 96.2 | 65.8 | 4.38 | 3.53 |
| Nationals | 56.8% | 92.0 | 70.0 | 4.24 | 3.63 |
| Indians | 55.8% | 90.4 | 71.6 | 4.50 | 3.92 |
| Astros | 55.0% | 89.1 | 72.9 | 4.41 | 3.90 |
| Giants | 54.3% | 87.9 | 74.1 | 4.05 | 3.67 |
| Red Sox | 53.6% | 86.9 | 75.1 | 4.37 | 4.02 |
| Blue Jays | 52.5% | 85.1 | 77.0 | 4.36 | 4.09 |
| Mets | 52.4% | 84.9 | 77.2 | 3.96 | 3.75 |
| Rangers | 52.2% | 84.6 | 77.4 | 4.24 | 4.05 |
| Cardinals | 52.1% | 84.3 | 77.7 | 4.06 | 3.86 |
| Yankees | 50.9% | 82.4 | 79.6 | 4.28 | 4.19 |
| Pirates | 50.3% | 81.4 | 80.6 | 3.84 | 3.83 |
| Tigers | 49.6% | 80.3 | 81.7 | 4.32 | 4.29 |
| Angels | 48.4% | 78.3 | 83.7 | 4.03 | 4.21 |
| Orioles | 48.4% | 78.3 | 83.7 | 4.36 | 4.62 |
| Rockies | 48.2% | 78.1 | 83.9 | 4.23 | 4.43 |
| Athletics | 48.2% | 78.2 | 83.9 | 3.90 | 4.05 |
| Rays | 48.1% | 77.9 | 84.1 | 3.95 | 4.17 |
| Marlins | 47.8% | 77.5 | 84.5 | 3.78 | 3.97 |
| Braves | 47.3% | 76.6 | 85.4 | 3.83 | 4.08 |
| Diamondbacks | 47.2% | 76.4 | 85.6 | 3.87 | 4.14 |
| Mariners | 47.0% | 76.2 | 85.8 | 3.99 | 4.23 |
| Royals | 46.6% | 75.5 | 86.5 | 3.92 | 4.26 |
| White Sox | 46.2% | 74.8 | 87.2 | 3.92 | 4.30 |
| Phillies | 45.4% | 73.5 | 88.5 | 3.70 | 4.05 |
| Twins | 44.9% | 72.8 | 89.2 | 4.05 | 4.55 |
| Reds | 44.6% | 72.3 | 89.7 | 3.82 | 4.34 |
| Padres | 43.7% | 70.8 | 91.2 | 3.61 | 4.15 |
| Brewers | 43.2% | 69.9 | 92.1 | 3.83 | 4.45 |