2015 Spring Training Picks

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Spring Training has ended. 149 picks were published and they returned 109.9 %, with a win % of 56.6 % [wins / (wins + losses)].

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DATE TIME	AWAY	HOME	PICK	PROB	ODDS	BET	RESULT
04/04/2015 04:05 PM	CHC	ARI	ARI	62 %	-109 (1.917)	3.0 units
04/04/2015 03:05 PM	CLE	MIL	MIL	61 %	-120 (1.833)	2.0 units
04/04/2015 04:05 PM	KCR	HOU	HOU	58 %	-110 (1.909)	2.0 units
04/04/2015 03:10 PM	SEA	COL	SEA	56 %	-106 (1.943)	2.0 units
04/04/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	WSN	NYY	44 %	+137 (2.370)	1.0 units
04/04/2015 02:05 PM	NYM	TEX	NYM	53 %	-101 (1.990)	1.0 units
04/03/2015 07:05 PM	PIT	PHI	PIT	60 %	-118 (1.847)	2.0 units
04/03/2015 08:05 PM	KCR	HOU	HOU	55 %	-102 (1.980)	1.5 units
04/03/2015 06:05 PM	ATL	BAL	BAL	61 %	-125 (1.800)	1.5 units
04/03/2015 07:05 PM	MIN	BOS	BOS	61 %	-135 (1.741)	1.0 units
04/03/2015 04:05 PM	MIL	CLE	CLE	61 %	-125 (1.800)	1.5 units
04/03/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	DET	DET	62 %	-126 (1.794)	2.0 units
04/02/2015 07:05 PM	BOS	MIN	BOS	57 %	-106 (1.943)	2.0 units
04/02/2015 06:05 PM	BAL	ATL	ATL	57 %	-112 (1.893)	1.0 units
04/02/2015 03:05 PM	MIL	SDP	MIL	49 %	+116 (2.160)	1.0 units
04/01/2015 03:05 PM	LAA	OAK	OAK	65 %	-131 (1.763)	2.5 units
04/01/2015 04:10 PM	TEX	COL	COL	65 %	-131 (1.763)	2.5 units
04/01/2015 01:05 PM	DET	HOU	HOU	54 %	+106 (2.060)	2.0 units
04/01/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	MIA	MIA	51 %	+118 (2.180)	2.0 units
03/31/2015 06:05 PM	HOU	ATL	HOU	50 %	+111 (2.110)	1.0 units
03/31/2015 04:10 PM	OAK	LAA	LAA	62 %	-131 (1.763)	1.5 units
03/31/2015 04:05 PM	SEA	CLE	SEA	63 %	-117 (1.855)	2.5 units
03/31/2015 04:05 PM	CHW	LAD	LAD	65 %	-136 (1.735)	2.0 units
03/31/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	MIL	MIL	64 %	-130 (1.769)	2.0 units
03/31/2015 04:05 PM	COL	SFG	COL	52 %	+108 (2.080)	1.5 units
03/31/2015 01:05 PM	PIT	DET	DET	64 %	-137 (1.730)	2.0 units
03/31/2015 01:05 PM	MIA	STL	STL	61 %	-137 (1.730)	1.0 units
03/31/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	MIN	NYY	62 %	-120 (1.826)	2.5 units
03/30/2015 06:05 PM	TOR	HOU	TOR	55 %	+101 (2.010)	2.0 units
03/30/2015 04:10 PM	LAD	ARI	LAD	63 %	-114 (1.877)	2.5 units
03/30/2015 04:05 PM	CLE	CHW	CLE	50 %	+112 (2.120)	1.0 units
03/30/2015 04:05 PM	SDP	CIN	CIN	58 %	-115 (1.870)	1.5 units
03/30/2015 04:05 PM	LAA	SEA	SEA	62 %	-126 (1.794)	2.0 units
03/30/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	STL	STL	67 %	-141 (1.709)	2.5 units
03/30/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	TBR	TBR	58 %	-110 (1.909)	2.0 units
03/29/2015 04:05 PM	CHW	CLE	CLE	60 %	-128 (1.781)	1.0 units
03/29/2015 04:05 PM	CHC	KCR	KCR	58 %	-120 (1.833)	1.0 units
03/29/2015 04:05 PM	MIL	OAK	MIL	49 %	+124 (2.240)	1.5 units
03/29/2015 03:10 PM	CIN	LAA	LAA	61 %	-124 (1.806)	2.0 units
03/29/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	HOU	HOU	55 %	-104 (1.962)	1.5 units
03/29/2015 01:05 PM	NYM	STL	STL	61 %	-125 (1.800)	1.5 units
03/29/2015 01:05 PM	DET	PHI	DET	57 %	-108 (1.926)	1.5 units
03/28/2015 04:10 PM	LAD	LAA	LAA	64 %	-126 (1.794)	2.5 units
03/28/2015 04:05 PM	OAK	CHW	CHW	60 %	-115 (1.870)	2.0 units
03/28/2015 01:10 PM	WSN	NYM	NYM	56 %	-106 (1.943)	1.5 units
03/28/2015 01:05 PM	HOU	MIA	MIA	62 %	-126 (1.794)	2.0 units
03/28/2015 01:05 PM	PHI	MIN	MIN	63 %	-123 (1.813)	2.5 units
03/27/2015 10:05 PM	SFG	LAD	LAD	64 %	-137 (1.730)	2.0 units
03/27/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	BAL	BAL	61 %	-125 (1.800)	2.0 units
03/27/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	PHI	NYY	60 %	-119 (1.840)	2.0 units
03/27/2015 01:05 PM	DET	TOR	TOR	63 %	-125 (1.800)	2.5 units
03/26/2015 09:05 PM	COL	TEX	TEX	60 %	-120 (1.833)	1.5 units
03/26/2015 07:05 PM	LAA	CHC	LAA	54 %	-101 (1.990)	1.0 units
03/26/2015 05:05 PM	NYM	WSN	WSN	57 %	-118 (1.847)	1.0 units
03/26/2015 04:10 PM	SDP	ARI	ARI	55 %	-110 (1.909)	1.0 units
03/26/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	CLE	CLE	61 %	-120 (1.833)	2.0 units
03/26/2015 04:05 PM	LAD	CHW	LAD	66 %	-120 (1.833)	3.0 units
03/25/2015 10:05 PM	CHC	SEA	SEA	66 %	-129 (1.775)	2.5 units
03/25/2015 04:05 PM	SDP	LAD	LAD	62 %	-126 (1.794)	2.0 units
03/25/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	STL	STL	61 %	-113 (1.885)	2.5 units
03/25/2015 01:05 PM	MIA	DET	DET	59 %	-128 (1.781)	1.0 units
03/25/2015 01:05 PM	NYM	NYY	NYY	63 %	-127 (1.787)	2.0 units
03/24/2015 04:05 PM	CHC	OAK	OAK	59 %	-124 (1.806)	1.0 units
03/24/2015 01:10 PM	HOU	NYM	HOU	51 %	+119 (2.190)	1.5 units
03/24/2015 01:05 PM	TOR	MIN	TOR	53 %	+101 (2.010)	1.0 units
03/24/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	PIT	PIT	57 %	-120 (1.833)	1.0 units
03/23/2015 04:10 PM	SEA	LAA	LAA	63 %	-122 (1.820)	2.5 units
03/23/2015 04:05 PM	OAK	CLE	CLE	57 %	-114 (1.877)	1.0 units
03/23/2015 04:05 PM	ARI	LAD	LAD	60 %	-128 (1.781)	1.0 units
03/23/2015 01:05 PM	STL	BOS	STL	51 %	+110 (2.100)	1.0 units
03/23/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	PHI	PHI	58 %	-114 (1.877)	1.0 units
03/23/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	WSN	WSN	62 %	-128 (1.781)	2.0 units
03/22/2015 04:05 PM	CHW	MIL	MIL	58 %	-117 (1.855)	1.0 units
03/22/2015 04:05 PM	CLE	LAD	CLE	51 %	+116 (2.160)	1.5 units
03/22/2015 04:05 PM	TEX	SEA	SEA	64 %	-132 (1.758)	2.0 units
03/22/2015 01:05 PM	PIT	HOU	PIT	54 %	+104 (2.040)	2.0 units
03/22/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	NYM	NYM	59 %	-113 (1.885)	2.0 units
03/21/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	OAK	OAK	61 %	-121 (1.826)	2.0 units
03/21/2015 04:05 PM	KCR	CHW	CHW	56 %	-114 (1.877)	1.0 units
03/21/2015 04:05 PM	ARI	SDP	SDP	55 %	-107 (1.935)	1.0 units
03/21/2015 04:05 PM	SEA	CHC	SEA	59 %	-104 (1.962)	2.5 units
03/21/2015 01:05 PM	NYM	DET	DET	60 %	-130 (1.769)	1.0 units
03/20/2015 04:05 PM	ARI	MIL	MIL	55 %	-101 (1.990)	1.5 units
03/20/2015 04:05 PM	CHC	CHW	CHW	59 %	-115 (1.870)	1.5 units
03/20/2015 01:10 PM	STL	NYM	STL	55 %	-101 (1.990)	1.5 units
03/20/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	BOS	BOS	58 %	-115 (1.870)	1.0 units
03/20/2015 01:05 PM	TOR	TBR	TOR	54 %	+100 (2.000)	1.0 units
03/19/2015 04:05 PM	TEX	CIN	CIN	56 %	-112 (1.893)	1.0 units
03/19/2015 04:05 PM	COL	KCR	COL	51 %	+110 (2.100)	1.0 units
03/19/2015 04:05 PM	SFG	MIL	MIL	61 %	-116 (1.862)	2.5 units
03/19/2015 01:05 PM	PIT	BAL	BAL	64 %	-130 (1.769)	2.5 units
03/19/2015 01:05 PM	MIA	ATL	ATL	54 %	-103 (1.971)	1.0 units
03/19/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	TBR	TBR	60 %	-123 (1.813)	1.5 units
03/19/2015 01:05 PM	BOS	TOR	TOR	60 %	-116 (1.862)	2.0 units
03/18/2015 06:05 PM	NYY	ATL	NYY	57 %	-103 (1.971)	2.0 units
03/18/2015 06:05 PM	DET	PIT	PIT	58 %	-113 (1.885)	1.5 units
03/18/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	TOR	TBR	53 %	+106 (2.060)	1.5 units
03/18/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	MIA	MIA	56 %	-106 (1.943)	1.5 units
03/17/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	CLE	CLE	60 %	-121 (1.826)	1.5 units
03/17/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	DET	WSN	53 %	+109 (2.090)	2.0 units
03/17/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	BAL	BAL	61 %	-136 (1.735)	1.0 units
03/17/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	PHI	TBR	58 %	-103 (1.971)	2.0 units
03/15/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	CHC	CIN	54 %	+101 (2.010)	1.5 units
03/15/2015 04:05 PM	LAD	SEA	LAD	55 %	+103 (2.030)	1.5 units
03/15/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	PIT	PIT	55 %	-110 (1.909)	1.0 units
03/15/2015 01:05 PM	STL	MIN	STL	55 %	-101 (1.990)	1.5 units
03/15/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	HOU	WSN	57 %	-111 (1.901)	1.5 units
03/14/2015 06:05 PM	HOU	ATL	HOU	54 %	+110 (2.100)	1.5 units
03/14/2015 01:05 PM	PIT	BOS	PIT	50 %	+115 (2.150)	1.0 units
03/14/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	STL	STL	63 %	-131 (1.763)	1.0 units
03/12/2015 05:10 PM	CIN	ARI	ARI	57 %	-116 (1.862)	1.0 units
03/12/2015 04:10 PM	CHC	LAA	LAA	57 %	-120 (1.833)	1.0 units
03/12/2015 01:10 PM	WSN	NYM	NYM	62 %	-116 (1.862)	2.0 units
03/12/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	STL	STL	63 %	-126 (1.794)	2.0 units
03/11/2015 04:10 PM	LAA	ARI	LAA	55 %	-109 (1.917)	1.0 units
03/11/2015 04:05 PM	MIL	SFG	SFG	61 %	-131 (1.763)	1.0 units
03/11/2015 04:05 PM	COL	SEA	COL	48 %	+121 (2.210)	0.5 units
03/11/2015 01:05 PM	DET	WSN	WSN	57 %	-113 (1.885)	1.5 units
03/11/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	MIN	TBR	51 %	+108 (2.080)	1.0 units
03/10/2015 04:10 PM	TEX	LAA	TEX	53 %	+107 (2.070)	1.0 units
03/10/2015 04:05 PM	CIN	MIL	CIN	52 %	+105 (2.050)	1.0 units
03/10/2015 04:05 PM	CHW	KCR	CHW	52 %	+114 (2.140)	1.0 units
03/10/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	BAL	NYY	49 %	+117 (2.170)	1.0 units
03/10/2015 01:05 PM	WSN	MIA	MIA	57 %	-115 (1.870)	1.0 units
03/09/2015 04:05 PM	LAD	SFG	LAD	58 %	-105 (1.952)	1.5 units
03/09/2015 04:05 PM	ARI	CHW	ARI	52 %	+109 (2.090)	1.0 units
03/09/2015 04:05 PM	CLE	SEA	CLE	56 %	+109 (2.090)	1.5 units
03/09/2015 04:05 PM	SDP	CHC	SDP	55 %	+108 (2.080)	1.5 units
03/09/2015 01:05 PM	ATL	WSN	WSN	59 %	-133 (1.752)	1.0 units
03/09/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	PIT	PIT	57 %	-123 (1.813)	1.0 units
03/08/2015 04:05 PM	SEA	CIN	SEA	56 %	-104 (1.962)	1.5 units
03/08/2015 04:05 PM	MIL	LAD	MIL	51 %	+116 (2.160)	1.0 units
03/07/2015 03:05 PM	TEX	MIL	MIL	57 %	-110 (1.909)	1.0 units
03/07/2015 03:05 PM	LAA	OAK	OAK	57 %	-115 (1.870)	1.0 units
03/07/2015 01:05 PM	TBR	PIT	TBR	52 %	+107 (2.070)	1.0 units
03/07/2015 01:05 PM	NYY	HOU	HOU	62 %	-115 (1.870)	1.5 units
03/06/2015 03:10 PM	COL	LAA	LAA	59 %	-125 (1.800)	1.0 units
03/06/2015 01:10 PM	DET	NYM	NYM	57 %	-115 (1.870)	1.0 units
03/06/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	TOR	TOR	64 %	-125 (1.800)	1.5 units
03/06/2015 01:05 PM	HOU	STL	STL	60 %	-125 (1.800)	1.0 units
03/06/2015 01:05 PM	MIN	TBR	TBR	58 %	-117 (1.855)	1.0 units
03/05/2015 03:05 PM	SDP	SEA	SEA	61 %	-128 (1.781)	1.0 units
03/05/2015 03:05 PM	LAD	CHW	LAD	54 %	+105 (2.050)	1.0 units
03/05/2015 01:05 PM	STL	MIA	STL	52 %	+107 (2.070)	1.0 units
03/05/2015 01:05 PM	PHI	HOU	HOU	61 %	-121 (1.826)	1.0 units
03/04/2015 03:05 PM	SDP	SEA	SDP	53 %	-101 (1.990)	1.0 units
03/04/2015 03:05 PM	OAK	SFG	SFG	57 %	-116 (1.862)	1.0 units
03/03/2015 03:05 PM	SFG	OAK	SFG	54 %	+103 (2.030)	1.0 units
03/03/2015 01:05 PM	BAL	DET	BAL	54 %	+109 (2.090)	1.0 units

March Madness
01/04/2015

Although the month ended with some March Madness, it was still a very good one with a ROI of 107.0 % and + 13.5 units from 130 bets. With equal bet size the month would have yielded 106.3 %. There were quite a few days with significant profits or losses and if I were able to choose, I would choose a return pattern with less variance. 

I feel pretty comfortable going forward handicapping MLB regular season games with The Handicapper. The simulation results for Spring Training games have been pretty solid overall, even though I have had to make some changes to the simulation algorithm.

ABOUT

The Spring Training selections (picks) are different from the selections during the regular season. Teams are making a lot of substitutions in Spring Training games, which make the handicapping difficult. The analysis and measurement of teams can not be expected to be very accurate during Spring Training and therefore it's highly recommended, that wagering for Spring Training games should be done with caution.